Showing posts with label Industry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Industry. Show all posts

Monday, September 26, 2011

The Subtlety of What's Next in Space

This is my entry for the Coalition for Space Exploration's "What’s Next?" Contest, please enjoy.

Photo by rAmmoRRison



We will not have cities on other planets in one hundred years, but subtle progress towards space habitation. This includes increased reliance on the undergraduate community, motivating them to continue space related careers. Isolating space programs economically, by the use of space resources to fund these high flying endeavours, will protect them from the recession and political movement. The diffusion of space centers and research throughout the nation will decrease the political tension in the space field. Increased focus on life cycle engineering during space system design is forced upon us because of the space junk problem. There is also the troubling public opinion towards science in general; it is no longer respected but is often regarded as “opinion”. All of the above items are next if becoming a space-faring species is in the cards for humanity.

One of the first lessons I learned in my ongoing undergraduate career is that attending a university is hard and learning Science, Technology, Engineering and Math (STEM) is harder. The joy of a STEM career is not enough to motivate students to complete their STEM majors, especially when other majors, like finance, seem more profitable. Space agencies will have to find ways to encourage undergraduate participation in the progress towards a space-faring society. This should be enough to keep STEM retention high.


Photo by blueforce4116

Global markets are currently volatile, so volatile that I fear we can no longer depend on them to fund space ventures using Earth’s resources. Private companies and governments must look at using space resources to fund high flying dreams. This will allow space development to continue no matter what happens on Earth. Furthermore, it will bring people into space ventures as money making opportunities open up in the high frontier.

Currently, with government being the major consumer of space services, space companies are exposed to political movements. At times like these, NASA is on the chopping block. However, independently funded space ventures are free from the tides of public opinion, even if they are ran by the government. No one will cut programs with short-term profit and technological benefits with no tax burden on the public. We also have the side benefit of speedier space development when funded with space resources.

Space projects are increasingly seen as only pork-barrel projects; not as projects of benefit to the greater public. However, this will change as humanity’s adventure into space increases in speed. Instead of adding onto the current space complexes, we will see spaceports rise all around the nation as demand for space services (especially telecommunications) increases. If people are able to see the impact of space in their local economies, they will have less reasoning behind the already baseless claim of the porky nature of space exploration.

However the space community does have self-made problems. The “[s]pace junk problem reache[d a] tipping point'” recently, “with enough currently in orbit to continually collide and create even more debris, raising the risk of spacecraft failures"1. If humanity wants to be space-faring, all future designs must focus on the whole life cycle of the device and include a way to safely de-orbit the object. I also fear that our attitudes are far riskier to development of the high frontier than a sphere of deadly space junk.

Science is no longer regarded as fact and I am troubled by this trend. This general attitude impacts the space field because of its high tech nature and need for heavy R&D. For example, if people are denying global warming, it becomes harder to convince them to launch more weather satellites or look into radiation. What we need is an increase in STEM education to allow people to connect with the scientific community better.

1: O'Neill, Ian. "Space Junk Problem Reaches 'Tipping Point'." Discovery News. Sep 2, 2011. Web. 26 Sep. 2011. .

Sunday, May 30, 2010

SPC #22: Public and Private

Welcome to the Sunday Paper Club. Every Sunday, this blog will offer an analysis of a paper on space habitation and other related topics. These are my opinions on a weekly scientific paper; basically, I read the paper and write down my thoughts while I read it. They are subject to my perspectives and believes. I am open to debate, so if any reader believes I have misinterpreted something in a paper, please point it out. I'm only a student and I'm still learning how to read these papers and interpret them. All quotes and ideas are from the paper, unless otherwise noted.

This week we are reviewing the paper Public–Private Models for Lunar Development and Commerce. I am using a new format based on the Lifehacker article Back to School: Keep an Academic Reading Journal.

Article Information

Title: Public–Private Models for Lunar Development and Commerce

Author(s): Eligar Sadeha, David Livingston, Thomas Matulac and Haym Benaroyad

Date: November 2005

Journal: Space Policy

Volume: 21

Issue: 4

Pages: 267-275

Article Overview

This paper is an overview of the different types of Public-Private partnerships. It also covers the politics behind different degrees of ownership of space resources (Complete ownership verses free use). It also covers a historical analysis of previous types of public/private relationships.

Key/Interesting Quotes

"Public–private partnerships (PPPs) depend on how the government reduces risks for the private sector". Page 267

"...lunar development advocates focus on scientific and technological benefits of lunar development,while providing weak links to economic competitiveness and national security issues that are of interest to political decision makers. Arguments for lunar development based on unspecified technological spin-offs are ineffective". Page 267

"...plausible business plans for lunar settlement, catering to scientific, mining and tourism projects, remain elusive and...lack realistic return on investment (ROI) calculations". Page 268

"One major barrier to commercial lunar missions is the inability of firms to raise the venture capital needed for implementation of business plans". Page 268

"To date only a seeking to conduct lunar operations would similarly single firm, Transorbital, succeeded in getting the necessary clearances and licenses for a commercial lunar flight". Page 269

"To date, no spacefaring powers have ratified the Moon Agreement". Page 269

"The approach to ‘collectivizing’ space lacks any definition of real property rights, however, and it fails to address the political and legal risks inherent in any lunar development scenario". Page 270

"In regard to space resource utilization, the private appropriation of extracted resources Convention on the Law of Sea due in part to the establishment therein of is permissible under the terms of the Outer Space Treaty". Page 270

"Free access in this case is evident with the guaranteed use of these resources through international and national laws, but use is distributed with market considerations in mind and with no property rights. When applied to lunar development, this possibility would allow for a market to develop, while maintaining the non-appropriation legal principle of space codified by the OST [Outer Space Treaty] regime". Page 271

"A second scenario is based on the creation of an independent US corporate entity that owns and manages the space development infrastructure". Page 271

"This involves the possibility of the government acting as an ‘anchor tenant’ by commercial services from the private firms at a specified price after the infrastructure is operational". Page 271

"These businesses will be such that the whole is larger than the sum of its units. The whole will get us to the Moon, and private sector investors can support any or all of the units". Page 272

"In order for the proposed technology model to be successful, a significant percentage of the technologies must be dual-use, meaning that they not only have a role in lunar development, but also have a more immediate civilian or other Earth-based application". Page 272

"So far the private sector has been conditioned to believe that the space program is the responsibility of government and a few of its large-scale contractors...This perception needs to change before the private sector will be able to act as partner to the public sector in developing commercial lunar ventures". Page 273

Consequently, because of this attitude, many states, especially developing ones, could mount costly legal challenges to lunar development projects as the development of space resources gradually evolves". Page 274

Personal Response to the Article

This article has a section that blasts the current business sense of the space community. Very few of the business plans of space ventures seem to make sense. The article surprised me with the vast array of unclear legal issues that remain undiscussed. None of the plans I've read of the use of space resources cover these legal issues, mainly, no one knows what rights a private venture would have to materials in space.

Something I found really cool is that the Moon Treaty, despite not being ratified by spacefaring nations, can protect and hold resources for non-spacefaring nations that have ratified the treaty. Thus, this reduces the need for a space race, which could lead to a more international use of space.

I also really liked the idea of breaking the commercialisation of the moon, a very risky and huge project, into smaller units that are small and extremely profitable; the risk and the difficulty would be moved to a larger organisation that would oversee the commercialisation of space.

Questions Raised by the Paper

Why does the space community gravitate more towards a wild-west model in business plans?

Are public-private partnerships viable in a recession or if the government is largely supporting the initiative?

Can we make the partnership redundant enough to survive if the government needs to pull out?

Transorbital had to go between many different government agencies to get clearance to preform a moon mission, would it be better to centralise these regulations?

Image by jurvetson

Sunday, January 17, 2010

SPC #18: Open Worlds

Welcome to the Sunday Paper Club. Every Sunday, this blog will offer an analysis of a paper on space habitation and other related topics. These are my opinions on a weekly scientific paper; basically I read the paper and write down my thoughts are I read it. They are subject to my perspectives and believes. I am open to debate, so if any reader believes I have misinterpreted something in a paper, please point it out. I'm only a student and I'm still learning how to read these papers and interpret them. All quotes and ideas are from the paper unless otherwise noted.

This week we are reviewing the paper Lunar Industries and Their Value for the Human Environment on Earth. I am using a new format based on the Lifehacker article Back to School: Keep an Academic Reading Journal.

Article Information

Title: Lunar Industries and Their Value for the Human Environment on Earth

Author: Krafft A. Ehrick

Date: August 1973

Journal: Acta Astronautica

Volume: 1

Issue: 5-6

Article Overview

Currently, humanity operates in a closed world system. We only extract resource from earth; we do not interact with another planetary body in a measurable way. However, an open world existence will give humanity to opportunity to grow endlessly, without damage to the biosphere. This is accomplished through the industrialization of space. Thus, the moon becomes critical because it sets the tone on how we use space. This paper shows use how we can exploit the moon in a profitable way and a path way to becoming a truly space faring species. 

Key/Interesting Quotes

“the information oriented and information controlled interaction with the lunar environment on the basis of synergistically integrating three aspects: extraction of lunar materials for local autonomy, cycling, and utilization of the "waste products" for industrial "export products", in order to supply orbiting installations and lay the foundations for the gradual evolution of a functionally integrated lunar and orbital industrial complex whose ultimate purpose is to reduce the ecological burden on the terrestrial environment, thus improving the human environment without reducing the level of productivity required by modern civilization.” Page 1

“We will never be able to develop or reach another inhabitable world unless we solve first the present crisis [population growth] on this one.” Page 1

“Open space is in many respects a more benign environment than the Earth's surface, to say nothing of the underwater environment”, in industrial applications Page 2

“…we do not live in a closed, isolated world—a ‘spaceship Earth’--but in an open world, on a planet that can be the future cockpit of the solar system.” Page 2

“…long-range thinking in the industrial world should raise its sights to an open-world development program whose central premise is the operative indivisibility of Earth and space” Page 3

“Openworld development means the upgrading of low living standards without destroying existing high living standards.” Page 3

“The central aspect of the extraterrestrial industrial expansion is the acquisition of new environments…” Page 7

“…the industrialization of the Moon will be crucial for the extraterrestrial industrial expansion” Page 7

“The open-world development concept places lunar operations into a new perspective by recognizing the lunar industrial potential and its value for the human environment on Earth. This philosophy adds the spirit of the industrialist to that of the explorer and scientist.” Page 8

“We must further think in terms of lunar production figures of thousands to hundred thousands of tons annually and of cislunar transporter capacities of several thousand tons, if we want to even begin making sense economically and being relevant to the needs of open-world development.” Page 8

A separate study “found that an investment of $150 billion over 30 years would provide a lunar industrial production and transportation capacity (within geolunar space) of at least one million tons annually of raw materials, semi-finished and finished products.” Page 9

“At the center of the lunar disc at high noon, the subsolar horizontal surface is offered 1.35 kw/m^2” Page 10

“The mare basalts are dark, iron-rich and relatively heavy. The anorthosite is a lightly colored, aluminum-rich, less dense material, a major rock-type of the lunar highlands. The lunar anorthosites are more depleted of potassium, uranium and thorium than the mare basalts.” Page 11

“…the Moon seems to be depleted in volatile elements and enriched in refractory elements [metals with high melting points]” Page 13

“even a shallow underground facility, or one covered with regolith, would be well insulated from the variations in solar heat input.” Page 14

“In the lunar environment we can apply strip mining techniques and expend vast amounts of cheap energy without ‘polluting’ the environment. Because this environment is "dead" there are no cyclic processes to consider.” Page 18

The moon’s purpose in space habitation is “the gradual reduction of the industrial burden on the terrestrial environment, thereby improving the human environment while the human industrial capacity continues to grow.” Page 19

“mining on the Moon does not mean going after a particular metal but rather extracting a large number of metals in proportion to their abundance and partly in proportion to the energy expended.” Page 25

Personal Response to the Paper

A while ago, I read the Hard SF article Can Space Colonization End Overpopulation? and I completely abandoned the argument that space habitation can help overpopulation. However, this paper may have proved that space habitation will aid over population indirectly. Population is limited by the resources available which in turn is limited by the amount of energy available. The moon provides an answer to both of these problems, industries can collect resources needed on Earth with abundant energy though solar and nuclear power.

However, I am not comfortable with one of the assumptions the paper makes. The paper assumes there is a seamless transition between the Earth and the moon. Due to the Earth’s gravity well and atmosphere , I feel this is not true. Lunar goods will need to be protected when they are brought down to Earth. Items from Earth while need powerful rockets. So, this paper is leaning towards a reusable system, which is extremely expensive to implement.

Questions Raised by the Paper

This paper assumes the moon is bone dry, now since NASA has confirmed water on the moon, how does the author’s argument change?

Can we be as carefree as the paper suggests when using resources in space?

Nuclear charges are used as the primary mining explosive in this paper, how do we over come the political obstacles to using nuclear explosives in space?

When do we see the return on the investment on the moon?

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