Showing posts with label Space Settlement. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Space Settlement. Show all posts

Sunday, October 9, 2011

Applying Kant to Space: Part 2, What We Must and Must Not Do

This is part two of a series applying Kantian Ethics to manned space exploration and space colonization. All quotes are from The Groundwork of the Metaphysics of Morals. Please read part one before this part.


Kant used the idea of imperatives to express the two different types of "must dos" in life. The first is called a "categorical imperative...which [is] represented [as] an action objectively necessarily of itself, without reference to another [goal]". The second is called the hypothetical imperative which are actions "good merely as a means to something else".

Photo by Tumnaselda

To make this clearer consider a starship on an 100 year mission. Physical requirements (like run x number of laps in y time) are ok to impose on the crew because one does not have to go on this mission to have a happy life; physical requirement belong to the hypothetical imperative. But imposing thought requirements and belief requirements would violate the categorical imperative.

For example, the captain of the starship and the design team must not place any limitation or requirements on the number of children crew members must or can have because that asks the crew to conform with a certain thoughts and that can make them miserable. It is different from physical requirements because it can be designed around.  Furthermore, it is different because if we find ourselves violating anything that must be done to execute something that could be done then we find ourselves in moral fault. This is because it is far more important, because the proof for categorical imperatives does not rely on our wishes, to preserve categorical imperatives and abandon hypothetical ones.

Yes, this means we might not be able to do the 100 year starship mission at all.

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Space Settlement: A Leap of Faith?


Image by Flickr user The Boatman
Apollo was insane... no, insane is pulling an all nighter to finish a 20 question long problem set each question having 8 to 10 parts...insane is drinking 5, 5 Hour Energy Drinks in a row...the Apollo program was deranged. To demonstrate how much faith in man's abilities was involved with dreams of landing on the moon in 10 years, I give you exhibit A, Tom's Astroblog post Machines: A Begining, Part 1...
When we were first developing the technology to go into space, I admit I had some serious doubts.  Remember, we’re talking about the very beginning of the 60′s.  If you suppose life then was much as it is now, you are sadly mistaken.  Let me think:  Okay, the telephones weighed five pounds and were permanently affixed to one spot.  There was no caller ID, no answering machines, no call waiting, no texting.  You had a black and white television (maybe) and three channels.  No cable, no satellites, no pocket calculators, no cell phones, and no home computers.  And we’re going to the moon.  Okey dokey.
The Question is: Will we ever have to, once again, take such a death-defying leap in space development to build our first space settlements? But if we wait to think about and plan out the lead; build a bridge over the gap, when does all the planning stop and we start the countdown clocks? To answer, I have commandeered the lens of Seth Godin and personal development blogger Danielle Laporte.


Plan 1: Go Forth with Confidence


There is a lot of discussion going on about space habitation, all sorts of papers and books are published in increasing numbers every year. There are serious discussions about legal issues surrounding property in space and if this dream could ever be profitable. One listen to the people calling in on the Space Show or the comments on popular blogs articles easily show we are in a conceptional design like stage of space settlement.


Seth Godin, rebel fighting against ineffective business world traditions, calls what the space community is doing now thrashing, and it is far from a bad thing:


"So how do you ship [or build a massive object]? Well, first you decide it’s important to ship.  If you decide it’s important to ship, you do things in the right order, you do them with rigor.  And what you say is the first week of this project is when we’re going to thrash. 

Lawyers, CEO come during the first week or don’t come at all.  We can thrash all we want at the beginning because we haven’t done, we haven’t laid the foundation, we haven’t ordered the parts, we haven’t built everything.  Come at the beginning and then you’re not allowed back in the room.  You will not see it again until it’s in the store. You will not see it again until it’s online.  You will not see it again until it’s shipped out the door, so you better come at the beginning and thrash a lot.

People say this is unrealistic.  Well, shipping is unrealistic.  It is unrealistic to imagine that three or five or fifty motivated people can make a dent in the universe, but they can.  And so the way they do it is by taking the unrealistic act of thrashing at the beginning...[because "the closer we get to shipping the louder the [fear based part of the] brain gets.  The more the reasons there are to worry"]". ~Seth Godin's Blog: Transcript of the first Linchpin session.


Basically, this path has us on Earth in labs and libraries refining the idea of space settlement until we have perfected every issue: technical, legal and financial. It is a path that has us launching smaller endeavors (by small I mean missions that are about the same size and scope as the International Space Station) every time we can prove a small undertaking will work. After those small attempts at space settlement fail or succeed, we go back to our labs and do more studies and plan out a smaller mission. If we can come to agreement on the path humanity should take in space, then we won't have another fizzle out in the same way Apollo lost steam. 

Image by Flickr user smithfischer
I really liked the way the blog White Hot Truth explains why a confidence based plan for anything is great, it is because "[y]ou need confidence to lead, to sustain, and to offer the kind of straight up compassion that transforms people" and society. We need to be able to look into the eyes of people, as the space community, and say "I am 100% sure a space settlement will work and will help the people you love". I'm not sure we are there yet...it might be years before we are that point. So, a leap of faith might be needed

 

Pros and Cons of Long Term Plan

Pros:

  • High amount of long term public support; A solid plan will have tons of support behind it
  • Increased Safety
  • Easier to convince investors to invest since most of the risks are mitigated

Cons:

  • Low amount of short term public support; “We are doing research” doesn't get a lot of people excited
  • Requires dedication; Space Settlement could fizzle out or die after an accident or a long period of solely researching (For example, if we don't launch anything for 5 years, support might die) under this plan
  • Requires time; requires a multi-generational plan
  • Has to deal with political cycles
Plan 3: Take a Leap of Faith

Despite our level of activity space , starting a moon base tomorrow would still be a leap of faith. We won't have a successful model to base our moon base off of. Yes, we have the ISS, but I think it is only on the verge of becoming the epic assembly it was always meant to be. We are close, really, really painfully close. But we still have radiation and gravity issues to deal with. The legal issues aren't settled yet.



But Seth Godin once again points out the good in the confusion:
"...'This better work,' is the thinking of safety, of proven, of beyond blame.
'This might work,' on the other hand, is the thinking of art, innovation and insight...if you spend all your time on stuff that might work, you'll never need to dream up something that better work, because your art will have paid off long ago." ~Seth Godin's blog: This better work
 Basically, you need to take a risk to do something epic like space habitation. You need to do stuff the might not work. We might need to start companies that end up failing or use regulation that is too loose or too tight. But, these risks are justified because of what we could do.

Pros and Cons of a Leap of Faith

Pros

  • Doesn't require a multi-generational plan; complete the project in a short burst.
  • Easy to motivate public; they see benefits within their lifetimes
  • Fast
  • Has very few political cycles to deal with
Cons
  • Riskier
  • Less investors; raising capital for leaps of faith can be pulled off, but you at least need a detailed and solid business plan...but those usually have some time of foundation, a proven case on which the risk can be based on

Conclusion

White Hot Truth puts it bluntly, “you need blind faith to build confidence”. Apollo proved that we could visit other worlds, ISS proved we could live in space and both were leaps of faith. This is not a black and white choice - we need both confidence and leaps. However, we must make sure there is a transition between the leap of faith and a proven plan. For example, I feel Apollo would have been so much more successful if the program effectively moved from Kennedy's argument for space into continuing Apollo level funding as a part of a multi-generational plan; as a part of something bigger than beating the Russians based on arguments generated from what was learned in those first moon landings.

I feel, however, that the space community in general relies too much on leaps of faith. Do you think I am insane? Feel free to challenge me in the comments.  

Saturday, July 3, 2010

There are No Silver Bullets

Space has been portrayed as a silver bullet to a lot of the world’s problems. From energy shortages to world hunger and over population, many think the plenty of the stars will save us. However, space habitation is not a silver bullet; there are no silver bullets.

This post was inspired by the paper No Silver Bullet—Essence and Accident in Software Engineering by Dr. Fred Brooks, professor of Computer Science at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Most of the ideas in that paper are limited to the paper’s field, software engineering. But, there is an argument made that can be applied anywhere:

“...as we look to the horizon of a decade hence, we see no silver bullet. There is no single development, in either technology or management technique, which by itself promises even one order of magnitude improvement in productivity, in reliability, in simplicity... Although we see no startling breakthroughs, and indeed, believe such to be inconsistent with the nature of software, many encouraging innovations are under way. A disciplined, consistent effort to develop, propagate, and exploit them should indeed yield an order-of-magnitude improvement. There is no royal road, but there is a road”.

Basically, Dr. Brooke is claiming that, if there where a scale from productivity, reliability and simplicity. It would be impossible to go from 1 to 10, 10 to 100 and so on with one piece of technology or one change in habits. However, those increases are possible with a system of technologies and habits implemented, with discipline, overtime. For example, at the beginning of this school I brought running shoes. I ran about 10 times and they felt great, but, as the year progressed, I ran less and less. I never really developed the mindset of a runner, running wasn’t a high enough priority for me. Next thing I knew, I was very good friends with the freshmen 15. This experience is not limited to me.

The lessons from software engineering and running shoes are important to promoting and planning space settlement; they both prove that there is no silver bullet.

There is a paper by Dr. David Livingston, The Ethical Commercialization of Outer Space, which demonstrates how much trouble space settlement alone can cause. Dr. Livingston is host of The Space Show and an expert who has influenced me greatly. He argued that

“without an ethical orientation to the conduct of one's business, people can be made to suffer extreme harm as business decisions often have the power to touch most people's lives... [T]he founder and CEO of SpaceDev, Inc. of San Diego, Jim Benson, an individual who is deservedly at the forefront of launching new commercial space businesses, can serve as an example. Mr. Benson is an important and capable leader in commercializing outer space, but some of his statements describing what the early period of the new commercial space industrialization will look like foster concern for the ethical issues. Perhaps the best example of this comes from an interview with Benson in the Oct. 26-Nov. 2, 1998 issue of The New Yorker magazine regarding space commercialization as discussed at Space98, an international space conference held in Albuquerque, New Mexico in April 1998. Benson, who was both an important speaker and participant at Space98, said in reference to a question about the establishment of space colonies that "these colonies are going to grow like boom towns. There is going to be no planning. It will be an economic workhouse. You're going to wind up with prostitutes in space and blue-collar workers and office workers, and people are going to die, they are going to be killed, and we are going to find places to squeeze people into some tuna cans up there”.
I believe there is something to the overview effect - a feeling of being insignificant yet connected to all humans generated by looking at the Earth from space, but I really wonder if one would have time to look over the Earth while counting money earned by unethical means. The mindset of some of the leaders in the space field is...scary. With this in mind, we realize that forcing a change in business culture by paying for space settlement (just like paying for running shoes) will not fulfill the responsibility “we in developed nations bear...for the plunder of the past centuries”. It could only cause more plunder, because current business practice is a habit.

However the alternatives to space habitation, social change or environmental action, alone will not generate a non-spacefaring way to reach O’Neill’s goal of plenty for all humans. We need more resources to support our growing populations. Environmental action can protect remaining resources by insuring that farmland and fresh water are not polluted. It can make our use of resources more efficient through recycling and energy conservation. However, we are quickly running low on farmland and water. Extracting energy from the biosphere could backfire; I remember a lecture where we discussed alternative energy and what would happen to the Earth if we used enough wind power to significantly slow the winds or enough geothermal were used to cool the core of the Earth. Those scenarios would take a lot of energy use to become real, but it is something to consider when looking at the energy needs 100 years from now.


Social change could create a more educated, wealthy humanity and it has been shown that education and wealth reduces the number of children per family, but social change is hard when resources are dwindling. The following is O’Neill’s argument, covered in-depth at the end of chapter 2 of The High Frontier, but societies tend toward totalitarian rule in desperate situations like running out of resources, destroying the chances for a cultural change.

This is why I really think that the space community must always broadcast that there will be hard work involved with accessing the resources of space and achieving the image of a space based utopian future. We have a long road filled with the overcoming the obstacles involved with attempting to implement widespread environmental awareness, encouraging a sweeping social change and building support for an epic space settlement program. All three massive endeavours, if brought together, can pull off our ideals. It will take a lot of hard work and passion from the people who want to see a spacefaring society that lives up to its promises. There are no silver bullets, but there is a path. 

Photo by eschipul and by surinamensis2000

Monday, June 21, 2010

SPC #25: Space Bones

Welcome to the Sunday Paper Club. Every Sunday, this blog will offer an analysis of a paper on space habitation and other related topics. These are my opinions on a weekly scientific paper; basically, I read the paper and write down my thoughts while I read it. They are subject to my perspectives and believes. I am open to debate, so if any reader believes I have misinterpreted something in a paper, please point it out. I'm only a student and I'm still learning how to read these papers and interpret them. All quotes and ideas are from the paper, unless otherwise noted.

This week we are reviewing the paper Modeled Microgravity Inhibits Osteogenic Differentiation of Human Mesenchymal Stem Cells and Increases Adipogenesis. I am using a new format based on the Lifehacker article Back to School: Keep an Academic Reading Journal.

Article Information

Title: Modeled Microgravity Inhibits Osteogenic Differentiation of Human Mesenchymal Stem Cells and Increases Adipogenesis

Authors: MAJD ZAYZAFOON, WILLIAM E. GATHINGS AND JAY M. MCDONALD

Date: May 2004

Journal: Endocrinology

Volume: 145

Number: 5

Article Overview 

This was experiment that used mouse bone samples to see how growth was effected in a ground based, zero gravity incubator. It found that bones were vastly effected.

Quotes and Analysis 

"...bone loss is the major skeletal problem that has been reported in humans after prolonged space flight and weightlessness. In the most severe forms of microgravity (MG)-induced bone loss, there is an approximately 2% decrease in bone mineral density in only 1 month, equal to that of a postmenopausal woman in 1 year" Page 2421.

Comment: Wow, that is a deal breaker for zero gravity space settlements. 1 year in space would be a 24% reduction in bone mass, you can snap a bone if you bump into something too hard. I'm really just stunned at how much the loss it...we really need gravity it seems.

"During simulated MG, the vessel wall and medium containing cells bound to microcarrier beads rotate at the same speed, producing a vector-averaged gravity comparable with that of near-earth free-fall orbit... This system was developed by NASA at the Johnson Space Center and has been previously used to simulate the effects of a MG environment on numerous cell culture systems" Page 2422.

Comment: One of the many criticisms of the International Space Station (ISS) is that the zero gravity enviroment that makes the ISS so unique can be replicated on Earth. I also thought that the criticism was only considering the Vomit Comet, but since devices like the one above exists, the criticism of the ISS becomes more powerful. That device basically manipulates the forces on a sample to get something close to zero gravity.

Translation of Page 2424: The bone did not grow in microgravity, this was proven with a fancy image measuring system and tests for calcium in the bone.

Comment: Growth is staled in microgravity, we could never put children in space for long periods of time because it would cause too much harm to their development.

"Despite all limitations and contradictory reports, until the experiments are conducted under true MG in space, validated earth-bound models will have to suffice" Page 2427.

"Our present findings suggest that modeled MG acts on the common precursor cell in the bone marrow to promote its commitment to the adipocyte lineage, at the expense of the osteoblastic lineage. These changes in gene expression were not reversible. Thirty days after readaptation to normal gravity, the expression of osteoblast gene markers (with the exception of ALP) remained lower than in the gravity control" Page 2429.

Comment: So, zero-gravity inhabitants could never return to Earth. Also, it would be cool if someone studied the effect for moving to and from zero gravity daily, they may have weaker bones and muscles.

"In support of our data, cosmonauts (n = 15) who suffer from serious bone loss in space have been reported to continue to have significant tibial bone loss 6 months after readaptation" Page 2429.

Questions Raised by the Paper:

How much of the ISS' functions can be preformed on the ground?

Is it ethical to have people become so weaken that they can never return to Earth?

Can you become so weakened by zero gravity that you can't function in zero gravity?

Monday, June 7, 2010

SPC #23: Kalpana One

Welcome to the Sunday Paper Club. Every Sunday, this blog will offer an analysis of a paper on space habitation and other related topics. These are my opinions on a weekly scientific paper; basically, I read the paper and write down my thoughts while I read it. They are subject to my perspectives and believes. I am open to debate, so if any reader believes I have misinterpreted something in a paper, please point it out. I'm only a student and I'm still learning how to read these papers and interpret them. All quotes and ideas are from the paper, unless otherwise noted.

This week we are reviewing the paper Kalpana One: A New Orbital Space Colony Design. I am using a new format based on the Lifehacker article Back to School: Keep an Academic Reading Journal.


Article Information

Title: Kalpana One: A New Orbital Space Colony Design

Author(s): Al Globus, Ankur Bajoria and Nitin Arora

Date: May 2006

Conference: International Space Development Conference 2006

Article Overview

This paper is an update to the O'Neill Cylinders and other cylinder space habit designs.

Key/Interesting Quotes

“Cylinders minimize shielding mass per unit of 1g living area compared with other feasible shapes.” Page 1

“Princeton physicist Gerard ONeill led two Stanford/NASA Ames Research Center summer studies that supported the feasibility of kilometer-scale orbital cities. These studies assumed that the NASA space shuttle would operate as expected, a flight every week or two, $500/lb. to orbit, and one failure per 100,000 flights. The studies also assumed that a more efficient follow-on heavy lift launcher would be
available”. Page 1

“Taken together, the earlier designs have a number of serious problems: 1. Excessive shielding mass (Bernal Sphere, Stanford Torus) , 2. Extremely large mirrors to bring in natural sunlight (ONeill Cylinders) , 3. Lack of natural sunlight (Lewis One) , 4. Rotational instability (Bernal Sphere, ONeill Cylinders) , 5. Lack of wobble control (Bernal Sphere, Lewis One, O'Neill Cylinders, Stanford Torus) , 6. Catastrophic failure modes due to rotating hulls with minimal clearance to non-rotating shield mass (Lewis One, Stanford Torus)” Page 2


“Earth orbiting colonies will come first [because]: 1g (pseudo-)gravity levels are possible on orbital colonies...,Rapid resuppply from Earth ...Better communication with Earth ...Weightless and low-g recreation near the axis of rotation ...Relatively easy 0g construction of large living structures ...Near-Earth orbital colonies can service our planet’s tourist, exotic materials and energy markets more easily than the Moon, and Mars is too far away to easily trade with Earth ” Page 2


“Without children, you don’t have a colony, so 1g is a hard requirement for early colonies.” Page 5

“the maximum length of a rotationally stable cylinder is approximately 2.5r” Page 5

“Thus, Kalpana One’s 1g LivingArea is approximately 1500m by 550m, for a total of 863, 500m2 , providing 172m^2 living area for each of 5,000 residents”. Page 6

“It appears that approximately 15cm of steel meets this [hull strength] requirement” Page 6

“Astronauts working on the hull exterior would experience > 1g centrifugal acceleration away from the hull. This is an unacceptable risk, so all external maintenance must be accomplished by teleoperated or automated robots.”. Page 6

“High intensity, controlled environment agriculture requires 50m^2 to feed one person.9 For a population of 5,000, the total agriculture area required is 250, 000m^2” Page 7

“...thermal rejection system consists of thermal radiators attached around the rotation axis of the colony”. Page 8

Personal Response

This colony purposed to use thermal radiators to get rid of heat, however, it is not as easy as the single sentence suggest. Heat transfer would only occur with the radiation of heat through the vacuum of space. This is a painfully slow process, however, this problem is overcome in the design by the size of the panels. But, thermal radiators can be a problem because they must the keep away from the sun's rays. ISS achieved this, so it is possible here.

I think that the station's spinning will have to be stopped with or without robotics to preform external maintenance. It will be very hard to keep the robot on it's target with a 1g outwards force, such a robot would need huge thrusters or some method to stick to the wall . However, Stanford did develop a robot that can stick to the wall like a gecko, maybe it could be of use here.

Questions Raised by Paper

Could we counteract the lack of gravity on other planets by wearing weights?

Can we make steel with resources in space? (There is iron on the moon, but steel is a mix of many elements)

Thursday, June 3, 2010

Inhabit Space, Today!

Sort of...You can apply to join the 10th season of The Mars Desert Research Station. This is a really cool and detailed simulation of a Mars base. It even has something called Greenhab, a simulation of farming in space. It can even purify water. The application is due September 15, 2010. However, if you apply by August 15th, you get a better chance. The time commitment isn't bad (Two weeks per crew), but it is $1,000 dollars + transportation costs. However, The Mars Society has a really good scholarship program (Undergrads get to go for free!) for those willing to do five presentations, which isn't bad. I would 100% recommend my readers who are even slightly interested to apply.

You just have to imagine the change in gravity.

Infinite Regression

I had this idea after reading a few chapters of the book I'm reviewing, Space Mission Analysis and Design (It is really dense, it could take me a while to review everything). Basically, I feel one of the economic arguments for a moon base could be an infinite regression. Right now, moon bases have plans to become spaceports and spaceship factories. This is suppose to support voyages elsewhere. However, I ask why is it economical viable to go elsewhere. If the answer is to hop to the next place to get resources to keep hopping or to stop at the next spaceport, it is an infinite regression. This model will work for science exploration in space, but for businesses and to make a profit, you will have to justify going to elsewhere. If you do not have a great way to profit else where, the moon factory won't make money.

Now, a real reason that can be economically supported is launching satellites from a moon base. That could be a great reason to settle the moon.

Monday, May 24, 2010

Space Settlement, American Exceptionalism and the Fear Behind the ITAR

This is another essay I wrote during University Writing, enjoy!

Space Colonization is an attempt to solve the problems humanity now faces. Garard K. O'Neill, space settlement expert and founder of the Space Studies Institute based his book, which now stands as the flagship argument for space habitation, in the previous idea. While considering the past violations and plunders by highly developed countries, O'Neill claimed that “[i]t is unlikely...that a large segment of the population in the advanced countries is going to reduce its standard of living by a substantial amount, voluntarily, in order to share the wealth of Earth with emerging nations. [But, there is] a way in which inexpensive, inexhaustible energy sources can be made available to the developing nations without [requiring] self-denial” (O'Neill, 16). O'Neill was troubled at thought that there where “areas of our world where the problems are most severe, almost no one can spare the effort to think beyond the next meal” (O'Neill, 24). He worried that “most people lived out their lives in heavy labor, many as slaves” (O'Neill, 15). He realized, after reading the work of Professor Robert Heilbroner who “studied the consequences...for human political and social development” when resources are dwindling, that on a draining Earth “even in the decades immediately ahead we will be forced to turn to increasingly authoritarian governments” (O'Neill,20-21). The static state that humanity would need to continue with Earth as it only home would be “forced[,] in self-defense[,] to suppress new ideas” and would eliminate “the freedom to order one's life as one pleases” (O'Neill, 22). At its heart, that's what space settlement, as with any scientific challenge, is, an attempt to further and protect the four freedoms. If we stay on Earth, our resources will dwindle. The chaos generated by lack of water will be orders of magnitude greater then the struggle over oil. We will increasingly live in fear as nations seek to invade each other for the necessities of life, not even what is required for human comfort, we will go to war over survival. The freedom to speech and religion will be threatened as dictators rise in a draining Earth.

However, we can't blast off into space, not as a united species. Very few countries have space programs or even the technical expertise to begin one. Still more nations do not have the resources to feed their people. As O'Neill pointed out, the United States has an obligation to ensure that 3rd world countries can enjoy the freedom granted by becoming a space faring nation. However, since the poorer nations do not have the capacity to utilize space, the age of space colonization will bring with it the same challenges and dilemmas, in regards to foreign policy, that faced the United States before it's involvement with World War Two.

When president Franklin D. Roosevelt gave his pre-Pearl Harbor address The Four Freedoms, he was seeking support for the Lend-Lease Act. He wanted the Unites States congress to aid other democratic nations in the protection of the Four Freedoms, which Roosevelt proclaimed were freedom of speech, freedom of religion, freedom from want and freedom from fear. The US congress needed to be convinced because they were still holding onto the ideas of isolationism. Because of this ideology, the US would not participate or give arms to nations struggling to deal with the Nazi threat. However, just like how nations were not prepared to deal with the Nazi threat, many nations of today are not prepared to compete in a space faring economy.

It would seem the US would aid in the technological advancement of these nations since the address by Roosevelt has been incorporated into our myths; his speech informs our decisions and should inform our actions as a nation active in space. It would seem that Roosevelt, whose word's are now incorporated in the culture of the United States, would ask us to remember “that the safety of our country and of democracy are overwhelmingly involved in events far beyond our borders” (Roosevelt, 2). It was these freedoms which O'Neill and his supporters sought to protect and secure for ourselves and other nations through the multinational settlement of space. However, this idea is not fully reflected in this nation's laws, especially those regarding space.

The International Trade Arms Regulations or ITAR is a Cold War era export control law which limits the sharing of technical information to foreign countries. The major effect of this law in the space community is that no one, even our allies, can discuss technical specifications with US space technology producers. Imagine buying a car without knowing whether or not it had power steering, just knowing that the car turned. It is designed to ensure that our technology is the best by making sure our technological advancements remain in the country. From this nation's perspective, the law is great, but a more global perspective gives a different idea.

Scientist and advisor to the French space program, Jacques Blamont, commenting on the ITAR in his paper International Space Exploration: Cooperative or Competitive said “it is difficult to believe that a large-scale endeavor, which would require technical exchanges on many subjects where American superiority is overwhelming, could be successfully carried out on a day-to-day basis” in the current political environment (Blamont, 91). In effect, our isolation has frozen any possibilities for a large scale space project, such as space habitation. This freeze of international cooperation is demonstrated when we read about Blamont's horror to hear NASA employees exclaim “[i]t is unthinkable that equipment developed in a Federal Center might be used by a foreign agency” (Blamont, 91). Because of experiences like this, he felt that, because of the ITAR and the culture it promotes, there was a “suspicious atmosphere in the USA towards foreign relations” (Blamont, 91). Thus, ITAR is isolationism in space and this isolation has a negative effect.

This self serving isolation is not conductive to a peaceful future nor is it realistic in the vastness of space. Blamont pointed out that “[m]any in Europe believe that it is not a wise choice for [Europeans] to place any long-term strategic trust in the USA” (Blamont, 91).The US has, in the perspective of Blamont and many other Europeans, “shown...a disregard for anyone's interests but its own” , alienating all other nations (Blamont, 91). We are attempting to go forth into infinite nothing by ourselves and we are making enemies in the process.

Is this the correct direction for the United States? Maybe in the past, but the president of the American Historical Association and champion of the idea that American freedom was changed through its interactions with different types of freedoms, oppression and slavery, Eric Foner, would disagree. Foner claimed that the idea of freedom was challenged and modified because “the world we inhabit is getting smaller and more integrated and that formally autonomous nations are bound ever more by a complex web of economic and cultural connections” (Foner, 51). Our international activities have “helped to establish how freedom is understood within the United States” (Foner, 58). We are an international culture already, we have been effected already and we have modified our self image based on observations of other countries. We are, in effect, a product of globalization; what informs our ideals now is not internal.

But this web does not only challenge freedom, it creates a highway where every event or development interacts with other occurrences. Some would argue that a technical edge will ensure our rank on the world power ladder, but the truth is, our technological development is felt everywhere and we feel other countries technical development. We improve Japanese technology by having our developments, in the form of components, create a foundation for new developments. The United States bases our developments on foreign components too. Space activity is further complicated by the International Space Station. We bring up the equipment for Russian experiments and supplies, they bring up food and other parts. The question is are we willing to give up this peaceful cooperation with countries we dropped or threatened to drop nuclear bombs on for a technological edge? Are we willing subordinate other countries, like “Russia [who is not in fact] a cooperative partner, but a subcontractor” for the so called International Space Station (Blamont, 91).

Nussbaum is an American philosopher who wrote a paper exploring the ethical problems encountered when dealing with the problems of globalization. Her paper is of interest when studying the ITAR because of her discussion on American exceptionalism and the fear the drives us to isolate ourselves. She is frank when she points out that “compassion for our fellow Americans can all too easily slip over into a desire to make America out on top and to subordinate other nations” (Nussbaum, 13). In short, she struggles with how to control our compassion for international good.

The isolation imposed by the ITAR and the fear of technical disadvantage brings to mind the ideas discussed in Nussbaum's Compassion & Terror. The blind terror that made American spines tingle after hearing the radio transmission from the Sputnik spawned the ITAR. America was fearful because the Sputnik proved the USSR had the ability to drop a nuclear bomb anywhere when Americas did not have this ability. The USSR had a huge bargaining chip because the USSR managed to upset the balance that was the stalemate between the US and the USSR. The terror of being at a technical disadvantage and having one's military rendered obsolete with one development “could be a stimulus for blind rage and aggression against all the opposi[ng]” nations (Nussbaum, 26). In this environment of fear, the sharing of technical data becomes traitorous, on par with handing over a nation's fleet to its enemy. However, this is blind rage against all nations, an attempt to limit the scientific development of the targeted nation, just to eliminate all possibilities of technical disadvantage. It isolates nations from the scientific community whose insights who be enhanced with other perspectives.

To avoid permanent tension and stress, instead of joy, at every technical advance “we [need to do what Nussbaum suggests and] cultivate a culture of critical compassion...awaken a larger sense of the humanity of suffering, a patriotism constrained by respect for human dignity and by a vivid sense of the real losses and needs of other people” (Nussbaum, 26). Space is a common dream for not only this nation, but for all nations in the world. Everyday we are not space faring is a tragedy for all humans because it is a day we are not utilizing the resources of space. It is one more day we fail to find a permanent and reasonable solution to our energy needs. Not to mention the delaying of cancer treatments, the cure for AIDS, the solution to world hunger and other problems that could be tackled by a united, global scientific community even without the use of space.

Simply worded by President Roosevelt, there are “basic things expected by our people of their political and economic systems”. The lack of these basic needs, jobs, food, opportunity, increasing standards of living and freedom is “the root cause of... social revolution” good or bad. In a world where people are dying of lack, there will be, as predicted by Roosevelt in his speech, “[t]hose who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety”. Thus, the long term goal of the acquisition and use of the resources in space is an attempt to protect freedom because it is an attempt to ensure these basic needs are met. Anything that slows down progress towards the goal of becoming a space faring species is a threat to freedom. American selfishness is one of those roadblocks.

However, international, globalized efforts bring their own problems which we must deal with before moving as species into space. Currently, we are dealing with the death of cultures, sweatshops, increased economic disparity and other social ills brought on by globalization. But why does this matter? Are we not heading into an age of infinite resources, a rebirth of humanity where all our problems will melt with each rocket launch?

The paper The Ethical Commercialization of Outer Space by Dr. David M. Livingston explains why the current state of the world will indicate the how the first stages, and all subsequent stages, of space habitation will look. The paper continues to show the rhetoric and ethic-less thought surrounding the colonial period that is mirrored in the space community with quotes from leaders in the space field. After reviewing the troubling state of the space community, Livingston considers the following quote from “Paul L. Csonka['s]... 'Space Colonization—Yes, But Not Now':

'If space colonization were to be undertaken today at the maximum rate permitted by technology, it is likely that instead of increasing the chances of human survival, it would drastically reduce it. Preliminary studies ought to be undertaken, but large scale colonization should be postponed until such a time when (and if) social and political conditions reach the prerequisite state of sophistication'”(Livingston, 3).

This paints the obstacles to space settlement not as engineering problems, but as social and ethical problems. The social and ethic problems are of increased concern when we release that “initially our voyage to space and the first phases of our expanded space commerce will resemble the business and management models that are exported from Earth”(Livingston, 2). That statement should strike fear in the hearts of humans because it means we will end up fighting over the nearly infinite energy produced by the sun, we will kill despite the plenty that exists in space. The fight will start because we will ignore the plenty and quibble over our share, always ensuring that we have some type of edge, just like we do now as demonstrated by the ITAR.

Csonka's idea is also highlighted by our history as presented in Foner's work, American Freedom in A Global Age. To Americans, as Foner explains when exploring the myths around freedom, “territorial growth meant 'extending the area of freedom...' [.] Those who stood in the way...were by definition obstacles to the progress of liberty. In the outlook of most white Americans, the West was not a battleground of peoples and governments but an 'empty' space ready to be occupied as part of the divine mission of the United States” (Foner, 61). This idea is now part of our myths. When, not if, we look at these myths to inform our choices on how to go forth into this vast nothingness, these stories will be with us. There are also other nations with their own stores of the glory of planting a flag or stories of how it is useless to plant a flag. Their myths of conquering other lands or the founding of their nation will inform their decisions on the use of space. These myths could easily lead to war.

Even attempting to discuss our international efforts in space will bring chaos since each participant's self view will conflict. This is best understood by Devdutt Pattanaik, the Chief Belief Officer at Future Group in Mumbai, whose job is to help companies interact with customers in foreign environments. Through his work, he has concluded that most nations think that “[their] world [view] is always better than [the foreign view], because [their] world [view]...is[, in their minds,] rational and [foreign views are] superstition...”(Pattanaik, 1) . “This is the root of the clash of civilizations” (Pattanaik, 1). This will cause war once we are able to access space because each nation's myths are going to conflict.

At first glance it seems that war will always be it the cards for us, however, it is possible that space it self eliminates the problems of our modern world. People who travel to space experience something called the overview effect. Saudi-Arabian Prince Sultan Bin Salman al-Saud described this as “an opportunity to prove that there is no conflict...Looking at it from here, the troubles all over the world, and not just the Middle East, look very strange as you see the boundaries and border lines disappearing” (Livingston, 7). Once the borders are gone, our compassion for our homeland bleeds into compassion for a land on the other side of the globe. Without boarders, our narcissism becomes silly and we will no longer look for some form of an edge because of the overview effect.

Narcissism will dissolve because the overview effect may be the answer to the problem of death within life presented in Nussbaum's work. This particular problem came up in her paper when she attempted to solve the social issue of the sweatshop by asking “all [people] to care equally for all other [people]”. This doesn't work in the modern day because the only reason that makes people “care for something [is] the though that it is all theirs...and the thought that it is the only one they have”. This is why it is very hard to have people care for others jointly. However, the thought that we live on a fragile planet will instill the idea that the Earth and all life on it is all ours and it is the only place we have. Astronomer and science advocate Carl Segan explains...

The Earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that, in glory and triumph, they could become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot....Our posturings, our imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the Universe, are challenged by this point of pale light...[thus, t]here is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. ...[The pale blue dot] underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly with one another...(Segan, 7-8)

This is furthered by Dr. Livingston's point “the heavens are already taken and they are not our home” (Livingston, 9). This is the only place where we can live without millions of dollars of delicate, sensitive equipment and we can only visit space with our current technology. Our astronauts, over time, lose muscle function and bone mass and must retreat to this rare paradise we live on. We have yet to master the problems of cosmic radiation, forcing us to stand behind the magnetic shield formed by the Earth. Yet, we are concerned about a technical edge on something so insignificant. Something whose light is made obscure by the light from the billions of stars in our galaxy which is indistinguishable from the billions of galaxy. Something that doesn't matter in the pure, infinity nothingness that separates each planet, each star and each galaxy. It seems we are willing to destroy this life giving pale blue dot in lust for the none substantive things such as financial, technological and social power.

Furthermore, space may interact with the American myths in the same way that Foner thought freedom interacted with outside events. “American's relationship to the outside world... help[ed] to establish how freedom is understood within the United States” (Foner, 58). Just as the “struggle against Nazi tyranny and its theory of a master race discredited ideas of inborn ethnic”, experiencing the limits of our technology and our bodies may humble this nation (Foner, 66-67). If we realize what Prince Sultan Bin Salman al-Saud realized, will we end up pledging allegiance not to the American flag, but to a flag of humanity. Will we change vastly when American exceptionalism, “the delusion that we have some privileged position in the Universe, [is] challenged by [a] point of pale light” (Segan, 8).


Works Cited

The Ethical Commercialization of Outer Space. David M. Livingston, ASCE Conf. Proc. 204, 16 (2000), DOI:10.1061/40479(204)16

Nussbaum, Martha C. “Compassion and Terror.” Daedalus. 132 (Winter 2003): 10-26. (On UWP list: 06-07; 07-08)

Foner, Eric. “American Freedom in a Global Age.” Who Owns History? Rethinking the Past in a Changing World. New York: Hill and Want, 2002. 49-74

Roosevelt, Franklin Delano. "The Four Freedoms." American Rhetoric. N.p., n.d.. Web. 9 Apr 2010. <http://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/fdrthefourfreedoms.htm>.

Segan, Carl. Pale Blue Dot. New York: Random House, 1997. Print.

Pattanaik, Devdutt. "East vs. West -- the myths that mystify" November 2009. Online video clip. TED. Accessed on 12 March 2010.

Jacques Blamont, International space exploration: Cooperative or competitive?, Space Policy, Volume 21, Issue 2, May 2005, Pages 89-92, ISSN 0265-9646, DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2005.03.003

ITAR photo by http://www.pennwellblogs.com/

Saturday, February 27, 2010

TED Friday: Why Space Habitation Efforts Should Be Throttled Down

 

The arguments for space habitation imply that humanity must leave this planet at break neck speeds. Space settlement is presented as a window, as an opportunity that can be missed. Supporters mention the varies ways we can go extinct as a reason we should move to space, whether from nuclear war or from a massive object smashing into earth, all of which are time sensitive. Still more urgency creeps in when dwindling resources are noted. This gives those working the field a huge adrenaline rush, it feels like they are working against an unseen clock. Is this attitude healthy? Does urgency make the settlement of space go faster?

In his lecture, Carl Honore examines the speediness of modern life. He reveals that, before he became an advocate of the Slow Movement, he wished that he could speed up his interactions with his son. However, after some deep thought, he realized that his speed was damaging his relationship with his son. Wondering what was the cause of this culture is, he realized that “[i]n other cultures, time is cyclical. It's seen as moving in great  unhurried circles.  It's always renewing and refreshing itself. Whereas in the West, time is linear.  It's a finite resource,  it's always draining away”. This causes time to have a much inflated value making us to jam every second with an activity. This might feel like the only way, but it isn’t as Honore proves when he cites economies, such as those in “Nordic countries”, who move slowly yet do well. That, among other examples, lead to his thesis that it is possible to get things done faster then ASAP, but completing work this quickly produces low quality work. In short, he claims it is possible for “good slow” to exist.

Just as Honore, I must concede and say “that there is such a thing as ‘bad slow’. [For example, Honore] got stuck on the M25,  which is a ring road around London …and spent three and a half hours there…that's really bad slow.”. It’s really bad slow when we do not fix out failing schools for years. It is really bad slow when telescopes aren’t being built fast enough to provide the ability to look for objects that can threaten us. It is really bad slow if research in the space and STEM field were to stop. Not having rapid prototyping machines is bad slow. Having to place a hold on a project because the funding was cut is bad slow.

In response to the urgency of space habitation, many supports push themselves. However, this only leads to burnout and low quality work. Is there a better way?

But, do we have to generate progress towards space habitation every second of everyday? I believe the answer is no based on my experience with this blog. What motivated me to post an article everyday was my belief that I needed to generate content to, somehow, help humanity reach the next Maslow Window- a period when space habitation is fundable- before it closes. These need to post by midnight every night lead to horrible posts, writing that did nothing to further the field. If I took this attitude into the industry, I would have produced low quality parts/designs, and I would have burned out sooner or later. However, when I’ve allowed a blog post two or three days in development time I tend to produce posts which I’m most proud of, posts which I know are convincing people and furthering the field because of the reaction I see on social media.

Here’s where I take the pervious paragraph and toss it into my generalization machine. If the urgency I see in space settlement works is replicated in technical works towards space settlement, we have a problem. I don’t work in the aerospace industry, so I have no clue about the culture of NASA, Boeing and other space organizations. But, if those people think we need to progress every second, they will go slower. Once again, it is faster to go as slow as one needs to in order to preserve quality. I point to Apollo as an example of what happens to a program whose main design consideration is a speedy development. The program burnt out in a relatively short time. In short, it is better to wait for the next train to the future instead of sprinting on foot towards it.

Yes, this strategy could delay space habitation, but the Apollo model of space development, the draining bayonet charge to a space faring society doesn’t work in the long term. Yes, we could miss the windows we need to reach for space development. However, if one were to look at these windows as cyclical objects, one would find that humanity still has a chance if we miss a window. But, if we keep having Apollo style bursts into space, the humanity’s chances are greatly reduced because each window is wasted. It is better to miss one window to jump cleanly out of the next.

In Case You Skimmed

-We must redefine what urgency means in this field, it means producing high quality work, not bucket loads of low quality stuff.

Reactions

-Will this slow pace cause trouble with our political cycles? Can we maintain support of long periods of time? Do have have to complete our missions in four years? 

Resources

Honore, Carl . “Carl Honore praises slowness” February 2007. Online video clip. TED. Accessed on February 20 2010. <http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/carl_honore_praises_slowness.html>

Photo Credit

Stephen Poff

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Tuesday, February 16, 2010

The Space Community and Increasing Ecocentrism

While I was reading the paper I reviewed in the last edition of Sunday Paper Club, I realized we might have to deal with another obstacle to space habitation. This obstacle is so big that I can say without any doubt that engineering development is not a substantial obstacle to space habitation when in comparison to the following two.


Increase war will lead to more protests as a soceity is brought to the brink of distruction before becoming spacefaring. This might lead to hateful feelings for technology and STEM fields. Thinkers like Gerard O'Neill, Ted Taylor, G. Harry Stine, Edward Gilfillan and many others have warned that a space faring society can destroy themselves. This idea is presented as a solution to the Fermi paradox. But, such a society will be presented with challenges like war, disease and pollution long before they are tested on their ability not to hit the big red button.


Before the nukes go flying, humanity will be increasing spiteful of technology and of engineering. People will become more and more ecocentric, longing to rid themselves of the technology that seems to have caused so much suffering. So, as a society becomes more and more spacefaring, becomes more and more capably of destroy its self, its people will fight against technological advance. Consequently, the closer we get to pulling off space settlement, the hard it will be to convince people to move to the next step and the more likely we are to blow ourselves up. We may just be too tired for the victory party.

 

In Case You Skimmed

-As the environment decays in the future, people will be come more opposed to technological progress, including space habitation.

Reactions

-Will ecocentric feelings disappear after a society develops green energy that can meet the demands of that civilization?

-I assumed that a spacefaring society has to pollute, is it possible to become space faring without any pollutions (If we could start over, could we inhabit Mars without the use of hydrocarbons?)

Resources

Martyn J. Fogg, The ethical dimensions of space settlement, Space Policy, Volume 16,  Issue 3, 16 July 2000, Pages 205 -211, ISSN 0265-9646, DOI: 10.1016/S0265-9646(00)00024-2. (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V52-40VT2MT-7/2/3b691cbe46c19740b6b7f3501a51eb51)

Photo Credit

Joe in DC

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Monday, February 15, 2010

SPC #21: Ethics

Welcome to the Sunday Paper Club. Every Sunday, this blog will offer an analysis of a paper on space habitation and other related topics. These are my opinions on a weekly scientific paper; basically, I read the paper and write down my thoughts while I read it. They are subject to my perspectives and believes. I am open to debate, so if any reader believes I have misinterpreted something in a paper, please point it out. I'm only a student and I'm still learning how to read these papers and interpret them. All quotes and ideas are from the paper, unless otherwise noted.

This week we are reviewing the paper The Ethical Dimensions of Space Settlement. I am using a new format based on the Lifehacker article Back to School: Keep an Academic Reading Journal.

Article Information

Title: The Ethical Dimensions of Space Settlement

Author(s): Martyn J. Fogg

Date: April 2002

Journal: Space Policy

Volume: 16

Issue: 3

Pages: 205-211

Article Overview

This paper gives an overview of 4 ethical system and how Mars settlement fits within the system. It is focused on terraforming due to its massive impact on Mars’ environment. The article concludes claiming Preservationism is the only system our of the four studied that will not allow terraforming.

The Ethics of Terraforming Mars

Key/Interesting Quotes

“…the challenge of space settlement involves the creation of artificial and autonomous biospheres which can resist or adapt to local barren conditions. Here we have the reason why settlement lags at least four decades behind travel and still remains to happen: the science of life-support systems is much more complicated and poorly understood than rocket science.” Page 1

“While generating considerable interest at the time, the fashion for O'Neill's ideas has declined to be replaced by an enthusiasm for Mars.” Page 1-2

“Haynes was the first to turn his attention to these questions and to commend the concept of terraforming Mars as an ideal arena within which to develop future, cosmocentric, environmental ethics” Page 2

“Anthropocentric morality would therefore hold that, although our obligation toward nature is indirect, it is nonetheless real.” Page 3

“Mars must surely surrender its scientific secrets first before it is exploited and if there is life there, then it must be studied in its natural environment. If the expense of space settlement could be shown to incur a net detriment to human well-being, then this would also rule out the enterprise.” Page 3

“To the ecocentrist, terraforming Mars is only moral if it is truly a barren world.” Page 4

“The cosmos has its own values, [preservationism claims], and its mere existence gives it not only the right to exist, but the right to be preserved from any human intent.” Page 4

“Would Mars be a better place transformed into a living world? Preservationism would say no, but its movement from what is descriptively true of Mars to a prescriptive claim is arbitrary and unconvincing.” Page 6

“Yet if spacefaring is a legitimate activity for microbes, why should it not be so for humans?” Page 6

Personal Response to the Article

I think preservationism does lead to a good idea. Yes, it would be hard to function if a rock had rights, but the idea of leaving things alone could be useful. For example, it could be useful to leave geologically active areas of Mars untouched for studies (and safety). I also think we have no choice to use a ecocentrict view while settling space because that world view will force us to avoid microbes which do not have rights under anthropocentrism or zoocentrism.

Questions Raised by the Paper

How would someone with a zoocentrist view feel about terraforming Mars if it had life on it?

Photo Credit: Miss K ★

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Monday, February 8, 2010

Quantum Energy Teleportation and Space Habitation

Big thanks to @Astroengine for explaining this theory to me and linking to a post about it. You should follow him, he’s great.

Quantum Energy Teleportation could change the way we conduct space habitation. This game changing possibility works by copying the traits of on particle to another. Imagine two word documents, one call ParticalA.doc and another, blank one called ParticleB.doc, Quantum Energy Teleportation would be like cutting the contents of ParticleA.doc and then pasting that information into ParticleB.doc. Thus, you will move the file without moving the actual document. Only, Quantum Energy Teleportation destroys the source particle. 

Quantum Energy Teleportation and Space Habitation

First, there are a ton of really cool ideas for applications in space settlement in the first comment, written by MrT, to the Discovery News article Teleporting Energy. I think there are some really interesting ideas in that comment that should be explored. 

But I would like to explore another aspect of this technology. The search for energy is the driving force of space habitation. But, without the lost energy due to traditional means of transmissions, there would be no reason for humans to leave Earth. But, the critic may say “but there are rare resources and minerals that are abundant in space”.

I reject the criticism, with energy teleported to us directly from the sun and power planets on other planets would make artificial transmutation child’s play. The ability to transmit information faster then the speed of light would mean that telepresence can be established on any planet.

But, this might not all be bad for space habitation. This method of using space might be cheaper and safer then sending people, thus it would allow humanity to use space faster and maybe using those supplies will keep comfortable on Earth until we are ready to settle space.

In Case You Skimmed

-The ability to teleport energy reduces the market force of space settlement

Reactions

-Without energy demands driving us, what other reasons could we have for space settlement?

Resources

Photo credit: Flickr user Kliefi

arXiv:1002.0200v1 [quant-ph]

Ouellette,Jennifer , “Teleporting Energy” Weblog entry. Discovery News. February 4, 2010. February 8, 2010 <http://news.discovery.com/space/teleporting-energy.html>

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Saturday, February 6, 2010

TED Friday: The Last Mile

From my study of space habitation, most, if not all the problems, are solved. There are detailed plans for space settlements, business arguments proving that it will be profitable and engineering analysis of obstacles surrounding space habitation.

Even so, there is no moon base or mars base and Sendhil Mullinathan’s TED talk explains why. We have done most of the work and I will claim we are traveling the last mile of the journey towards space habitation. I claim that the same reason why insulin isn’t used as much as it should by patients is why space habitation hasn’t occurred. Space habitation will need a behavioral change in humanity to gain support. I don’t know much about human behavior, but my understanding is that humans hard wired to not leave a resource until it is depleted. This was a core survival technique that is the base of our society (major cities cluster around resources needed for survival, mainly water, were as dessert settlements are rarer). Space habitation supporters are telling humanity that we need to go acquire more resources before we run out of resources on Earth.

In Case You Skimmed

-Human behavior may prevent space habitation

Reactions

-Do you think we will be able to change this behavior, even though we are already suffering because of dwindling resources.

Resources

Mullinathan, Sendhil. "Solving Social Problems with a Nudge" February 2010. Online video clip. TED. Accessed on February 6 2010. <http://www.ted.com/talks/sendhil_mullainathan.html>

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Thursday, February 4, 2010

CAT: Political Cycles

Welcome to Counter Argument Thursday (CAT). This is where I write blog post the is opposite and critical of my position on space habitation and space habitation. I do not agree with the position in the blog post, but it is an argument I need to address.

Space habitation is a dream that cannot survival the vicious political cycles in modern government structures, just like every plan that takes multiple generations. space habitation will take at least two generations. Even a moon base takes 30 years to build, as claimed in the paper Lunar Industries and Their Value for the Human Environment on Earth. I can’t even claim there will be long term political stability in a totalitarian state, they too have political cycles.  In fact, unless a long term goal in woven into the social fabric of a nation, it won’t get done. Furthermore, to be blunt, space is far from being woven into the social fabric of, at least, the United States. I offer the Rasmussen Reports article 50% Favor Cutting Back on Space Exploration as proof. If a moon landing can’t make space into a social goal, nothing can. Thus, there will be progress toward space habitation while it is politically favorable and that progress will be halted when the tides turn.

In Case You Skimmed

-Space habitation is a long term goal the requires political stability.

-Political stability simply doesn’t exist

Reactions

-Could an international organization offer the political stability needed to space habitation?

-Could space habitation research hibernate in academia during politically rough times, only to reemerge better then ever when the public is ready?

-Will there be funding for space habitation in academia during politically rough times?

-Will there be a student interest in space habitation during politically rough times?

Resources

Krafft A. Ehricke, Lunar industries and their value for the human environment on Earth, Acta Astronautica, Volume 1, Issues 5-6, May-June 1974, Pages 585-622, ISSN 0094-5765, DOI: 10.1016/0094-5765(74)90023-X. (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V1N-4805SJ8-5/2/4d9bdc1efb4a1a033b97f934b0fe09e8)

Rasmussen Reports, “50% Favor Cutting Back on Space Exploration” Weblog entry. Rasmussen Reports. January 15, 2010. January 18, 2010 <http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/lifestyle/general_lifestyle/

january_2010/50_favor_cutting_back_on_space_exploration>




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